Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview for NBA Basketball Game

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Game Information

Golden State Warriors (6-5) vs. Denver Nuggets (5-6)

Date: 1/14/21

Time: 10:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Ball Arena

TV Coverage: TNT, NBC Sports Bay Area

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds

Moneyline: (Open: Warriors +200 / Nuggets -250) (Current: Warriors +166 / Nuggets -198)

Spread: (Open: Nuggets -6) (Current: Nuggets -5)

Total: (Open: 229) (Current: 226.5)

NBA Championship Odds: Warriors +6500 / Nuggets +2100

Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk free for up to $1,000!

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets News and Notes

The Warriors list three players on their injury report: Alan Smailagic (knee) is out until February, while Klay Thompson (Achilles) and Marquese Chriss (leg) are done for the season.

The Nuggets could have Gary Harris (personal) for Thursday night’s game. Harris will likely be a game-time decision. Greg Whittington (knee) is expected out until 1/17, while Michael Porter Jr. (COVID-19) is out until 1/19.

Notable Trends

  • Warriors are on a 5-0 ATS run in the last five meetings.
  • The total is 8-3 to the over in their last 11 meetings in Denver.
  • The total is 9-0 to the over when the Nuggets are on one day’s rest.
  • The total is 4-0 to the under in the Warriors’ last four games.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions and Picks

The Denver Nuggets are a bit of an anomaly in that they’re not a fast-paced team based on their 102.8 possessions per game, yet their totals continue to go over at an 82% rate. If we dig into their stats, we’ll find that while the Nuggets are ranked 19th in three-point attempts per game (33.8), they’re averaging 13 three-point field goals per game (38.4%). In fact, Denver has the third-highest effective field goal percentage (56.9%) in the league. They’ll face a Warriors team that likes to get up and down the court, as evidenced by their 108.2 possessions per game. I think this is the perfect combination for an over in this spot. Couple that with the fact that Golden State is ranked 10th with 13.5 three-point baskets per game and 15.3 three-pointers over their last three games.

Some strong trends point to the over in this spot when considering their head-to-head matchup and how the Nuggets have performed in this spot on one day’s rest. Golden State is also on one day’s rest, and I think we can expect the shooting to be on target with neither team on a back-to-back. This line has been bet down 4 points to 225, thus creating some value on the over. I’ll look to lock this in at the current number before it ticks back up.

The Pick: Over 225