Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs: Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Game Information
Houston Rockets 4-6 vs. San Antonio Spurs 6-3
Date: Saturday, January 16, 2021
Time: 5:00 p.m.
Venue: AT&T Center
TV Coverage: NBA TV
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Moneyline, Spread, Total and Odds
Moneyline: Rockets +245 | Spurs -300
Spread: Spurs -7
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Rockets +12000 | Spurs +19000
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Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs News and Notes
There are questions about who the Rockets will have in their rotation in a rematch of Thursday’s 109-105 Rockets’ win. Victor Oladipo and Radion Kurucs’ statuses are unknown for Saturday’s matchup. If both are unavailable to make their Rockets debut, the team may have only eight active players—the league minimum.
John Wall is ruled out with a knee injury, and Danuel House is unavailable after landing on the league’s health and safety protocol. DeMarcus Cousins is doubtful with a knee injury, and Eric Gordon is questionable as he continues to deal with a leg injury.
In Thursday’s matchup, the Rockets relied heavily on Christian Wood, who played 35 minutes, scoring 27 points, 15 rebounds and one assist. The starting lineup of P.J. Tucker, Jae’sean Tate and Sterling Brown all saw minutes in the 30s, while Ben McLemore has a lackluster game, playing 21 minutes, scoring three points, three rebounds and four assists.
Look for the Rockets to depend on the same rotation and involve a second unit of Kenyon Martin Jr., David Nwaba and Mason Jones. Sterling Brown should start again in place of John Wall, and if Cousins is ruled out, Christian Wood, Kenyon Martin Jr. and P.J. Tucker should all see time at center.
The Rockets rank 11th in pace this season, averaging 101 possessions per game, scoring 111.1 points per game and allow 112.4 points to opponents.
The Spurs production focuses on both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. However, Keldon Johnson, Lonnie Walker and Dejounte Murray all saw significant minutes on Thursday, with Johnson leading the team scoring 29 points.
Look for the Spurs to use Rudy Gay and Patty Mills off the bench, who both see minutes in the 20s.
The Spurs are playing at a league-average of 100.7 possessions per game pace, scoring 110.7 points per game and allow 111.8 points to opponents.
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Predictions and Picks
The SportsGrid Betting Model leans toward the Spurs in a close game, projecting them with a 50% chance to win. The model gives a five-star rating to the Rockets’ moneyline and spread. Also, giving a five-star rating to the over, the model believes this game to be a high-scoring affair, projecting the total at 227.4.
Favorited at home in 20 games last season, the Spurs posted a 12-8 record, covering the spread five times. When favored by 6.5-points or more, the team posted a 6-5 record, covering four times. In those 11 games, they played at a league-average of 100.4 possessions per game pace, scoring 113.7 points and allowing 111.7 points to opponents.
Last season, the Rockets posted a 6-5 record as a road underdog, covering seven times. Only playing as a 6.5-point underdog in two games, they posted a 2-0 record, playing at a 107.2 pace, scoring 123.5 points per game, and allowing 114 points to opponents.
It is worth mentioning last season, the Rockets, led by James Harden and Russell Westbrook, ranked second in the league in scoring, with an average of 117.8 points per game and played at the second-highest pace, averaging 103.7 possessions per game. With both no longer on the team, it seems unlikely the Rockets will duplicate last season’s performance.
With the status of Victor Oladipo unknown and limited rotation for the Rockets, look for the Spurs to pick up a win in a close matchup.
The Pick: Spurs +4