June 11 NBA Betting Guide: A Case For The Underdog Hawks At Home

NBA Betting Guide for Friday, June 11

There were two playoff games on Thursday night, and both home teams won to improve to 35-23 in the postseason. However, if you bet the home team in each game, you would only have added .10 units to your bankroll. Something will have to give on Friday night with the Atlanta Hawks returning home for Game 3. Atlanta has won their last 13 games at home and 21 of their last 23 games in this spot.

This season, they’re 28-12 at home for 6.58 units. Let’s dig into this matchup to see if they can stay hot against the Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks, Moneyline, Total, and Odds

Moneyline: Hornets +104 | Pacers -122

Spread: 76ers -2

Total: 227

NBA Championship Odds: 76ers +1000 | Hawks +6500

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks, News, Analysis, and Picks

The Atlanta Hawks gave the Philadelphia 76ers a sucker punch in Game 1 to steal a crucial win on the road. Now, Philadelphia will look to return the favor by winning a game on Atlanta’s home court. Oftentimes, Game 3 will tell you how the remainder of the series will go, and I think we’ll get a representative performance from the Hawks at home.

Philadelphia never really looked threatened in the previous series against the Wizards, but the Hawks are every bit capable of pulling off the upset in this matchup. After all, State Farm Arena has been somewhat of a fortress for them lately, and Atlanta has won four of their last five meetings against Philadelphia at home. In fact, the 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings on the road against the Hawks and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 meetings overall.

It was clear in Game 2 that the home crowd played a definitive role in spurring the 76ers on. I imagine Atlanta will get the same welcome from their home crowd that has really been almost a sixth player on the court for them. Nate McMillan was less willing to utilize more of his bench in Game 2, but I expect that to change on Friday night. Bench players generally play better at home, and they’ll need to if they’re going to provide any support for Trae Young.

Atlanta was 21-17 to the under at home this season, and it would behoove them to slow the pace down a bit. Thus allowing their fans to impose their will when Philadelphia has the ball on offense. I suspect it will take the 76ers at least one game to get used to the environment, and as a result, Game 3 is the best spot to back the Hawks at home.

My model makes Philadelphia no more than a half-point favorite in this matchup, so I’m inclined to back the home team as a two-point underdog.

The Bet: Hawks +2