NFL Parlays for Week 13: Potential NFL Parlay Odds & Payouts

Few things bring as much joy and uncertainty as betting on the NFL. Teams adjust game planning week-to-week, the full extent of injuries is rarely known, and there’s a seemingly neverending way of quantifying a team’s success and failures. Still, there are plenty of angles to take, and we’re assessing the best bets in our weekly NFL parlay breakdown.

Home Underdogs

Bets: Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots +5.5, Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans +7

Odds: +256

Payout: $356.92 on a $100 bet

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills face off twice over the next six weeks. The Pats need to make the most of those meetings if they hope to make the postseason, starting with Week 13’s matchup at Gillette Stadium. The Bills’ chance at victory is impacted by playing three straight on the road, but they also have some concerning defensive metrics heading into this AFC East contest. Buffalo has allowed an average of 401.0 yards per game over their last three, the third-most over that stretch. Naturally, scoring has inflated with it, jumping to 27.0 over the same period. New England is trending in the opposite direction, outgaining their opponents in three straight while limiting their foes to an average of 194.0 yards per game. They will have plenty of fight at home against a well-traveled Bills squad.

The narrative for the Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans contest wrote itself this offseason. Deshaun Watson takes to the field against his former team, his first game since the 2020 season, putting him at an immediate disadvantage against players who are in mid-season form. Houston’s offense has hit a snag recently, but they should thrive against a porous Browns unit. Cleveland ranks in the league’s bottom half in yards and points per game. The Texans should have no problem getting up for this one, while Watson could struggle to get up to game speed after a two-year hiatus.

Scoring Up the Wazoo

Bets: Miami Dolphins vs. San Francisco 49ers Over 46.5, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Over 51.5

Odds: +264

Payout: $364.81 on a $100 bet

Not even the most optimistic Miami Dolphins fans could have imagined how good the year started. The Dolphins are the class of the AFC East, operating the seventh-best scoring offense and third-best total offense. They test their might against the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13, a team who has seen their offensive metrics rise over their recent sample. The Niners are coming off a modest 13-point effort against the New Orleans Saints but have accumulated the seventh-most yards at home and the 11th-most points. Both teams can flex their defensive muscles. Still, we like the offense to reign supreme in this inter-conference battle.

There will be no slowing down the Kansas City Chiefs or Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. The Bengals are a different beast in friendly confines. The defending AFC Champs have gained the second-most yards and points at home this year. Moreover, they have been on a tremendous over streak, staying beneath the total just once over their past six games. They’ll meet their match against the Chiefs, who remain one of the most assertive teams in the NFL. Kansas City is the pacesetter in most offensive categories and has flourished on the road. Neither team will be interested in playing defense on Sunday, and this game could turn into a track meet early. 

Plus-Money Home Teams

Bets: Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants +110, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders +110

Odds: +341

Payout: $441.00 on a $100 bet

Things couldn’t be going much better for the Washington Commanders, who have just one loss over their last seven games. They bring that momentum into Sunday’s NFC East battle against the New York Giants, elevating their status in the betting market. Yet, some curious metrics suggest that the Commanders are prime regression candidates. Washington has increased their scoring over its recent sample, jumping to 24.7 points per game over its last three, up from its season-long average of 19.4. That increase came despite a downturn in production, with the Commanders decreasing their yardage recently. Washington is on an unsustainable path, and the Giants could win outright as home dogs.

The Las Vegas Raiders are starting to look like the team people thought they would be at the season’s outset. Las Vegas has won two straight, cashing as road underdogs in both contests. They return home for an AFC West showdown against the Los Angeles Chargers, who have lost two of their previous three. Scheduling issues also impact the Chargers’ competitiveness in Week 13. Los Angeles will be playing their fourth road game over the last five weeks, which could slow them down against a Raiders team that has put up nearly 1,000 yards over the past couple of weeks.